Monday, October 29, 2007 

Vol. 3 No. 22

A) A Letter to the Editor of Automotive Fleet Magazine

B) A Response from the Editor & Publisher of Automotive Fleet Magazine

and,

C) A Response, to the Response, From Yours Truly…

Many Folks Feel Strongly About this Topic, Including Me…



I rarely write “Letters to the Editor” for the print publications I read, and I have never written a response to an Editor & Publisher, which is, indeed, itself a response to a “Letter to the Editor,” however, issues brought out in this particular dialogue hit close to home in many ways, for this automotive Internet “pioneer.”

In all an honesty, calling “a spade a spade” as it’s described below, I’ve run into the bureaucratic road block of professional fleet managers only doing “what their leasing company tells them” way more often than I have the “enlightened” fleet manager type who seems to think for him or herself on a matter…and, of course, as mentioned in the June letter, this problem I have experienced is exacerbated by the fact that our business is in remarketing off-fleet vehicles (“That equates to not a lot of knowledge about new vehicle front money and practically nothing about how the used vehicle market works – an area that far surpasses the front-end money left on the table”).

As Mr. Bobit determines, there are a whole lot of exceptions to this type of “non-thinking” fleet manager, and I’m privileged to know many of them, but, unfortunately, there are whole lot of the type outlined in “Anonymous’” June 2007 letter as well (and I’ve met many of them too). I don’t think this is necessarily an indictment on one sector of one industry though, as I say in my response, it is more an example of the “cover your butt” syndrome that has been prevalent in large corporate and government bureaucracy since, I think there have been bureaucracies. However, I have to say after 20 some years in the car business, with some exposure in other industries as well, that the US motor vehicle institutions and the management of the fleets that run them, seem the most bureaucratic and the last to adopt any changes or advances in technology and new processes. As was observed by EJ Lawless in his comments in this blog a while back (and observed in his own at blog at Auto Industry Startups http://autoventures.wordpress.com/), there is a dearth of tech type start-ups in the car business for very good reason…its rough going out there sailing against this type of anti-change, anti-innovation bureaucratic regressive attitude that permeates the atmosphere in this industry more than most others.

Does it impede innovation? Most likely. Is this why it exaggerates effects of such things as the “Tipping Point” phenomena or “herd mentality” in the car business (notice the sudden ubiquitous attention to “green” vehicles for instance), perhaps. Is it a big pain in the butt (and a cause for severe depression at times) for entrepreneurial types who spearhead new technology and processes to tackle old problems – that I can say, definitely, it is…but what can you do?

It was an old Japanese proverb, I think, that defined success as getting knocked down ten times and getting up eleven; or, closer to the ‘hood, as my fictional neighbor in Philly Rocky Balboa put it, “It ain’t how hard ya hit, it’s how hard you can get hit and still keep moving forward.”

At any rate, here is the dialogue, that, at least in my opinion is worth a second a look and raises a topic that is deserving of a lot of thought for anyone involved in this sector of the car business (as it did with Mr. Bobit one of, if not the, most knowledgeable human beings on the planet on these issues).


Letter to Automotive Fleet
June 2007 issue

When talking with some of my fleet manager peers, I need to call a spade a spade. In 20 years of fleet management, I have watched how these peers operate. While there are indeed a few “aces,” you can practically count them on one hand. Over the years, I’ve been to dozens of conferences, local NAFA meetings, and new-car showings. I’ve talked to literally multitudes of “fleet managers” and most sound like broken records. Ask them a question and their answer is: I’ll have to check with my leasing company and see what they say about that.” Most of the ones whom I perceived as true fleet pros run owned fleets and don’t have a leasing company.

My conclusion is that most so called fleet managers don’t know a whole lot, except what “their leasing company tells them.” That equates to not a lot of knowledge about new vehicle front money and practically nothing about how the used vehicle market works – an area that far surpasses the front-end money left on the table.

Over the years I’ve heard these peers voice the same complaint over and over, namely: “Senior management doesn’t give me any respect.” Well, respect is earned, not given for free. The only way I get “respect” is to politely ram the cost factor down senior management’s throats. How can you hope to do that if all you know is what “your leasing company tells you?”

Anonymous


Editorial Response from Ed Bobit, Editor and Publisher of Automotive Fleet, entitled, “There’s Serious Cause for Concern!
September 2007 Issue

Ever since this letter to our editor ran in our June AF issue, it has rankled the heck out of me. Not because it’s anonymous, not because it isn’t necessarily a legitimate observation, but more because it’s an indictment of our industry.

I take this assessment of fleet managers in general (always a dangerous ploy) personally. Why, you might ask? Well, we know the writer, and it’s a pro we all respect with years of experience successfully running a good-sized fleet.

We also know that we’ve been researching and writing feature articles every month for more than 46 years keeping the nation’s fleet managers informed with news and helpful solutions to their challenges. We know that the National Association of Fleet Managers’ (NAFA) Fleet Management Institute (FMI) and educational resource center, like our’s, provide many answers to their members.

So, after all of these years, and if there’s a shred of truth in what the letter writer has said, it’s a sad state of affairs. It’s not as if our editors and NAFA aren’t trying; the educational tools are in place. We need to take a hard look at the individual and his or her environment, and root out the lack of initiative.

Why, you ask? Because I know hundreds of knowledgeable fleet managers; it’s not a handful. Because there’s nothing wrong if you depend on an expert at your leasing company. They’re loaded with them (experts of all kinds who answer tough questions daily).

The base problem is that some people with little business experience are placed in the fleet manager function because executive management doesn’t understand the value of that position. Top management may be blind to the possible costs that can be charged needlessly or the possible savings that can be attained through experience and professionalism.

This letter prompted me to devote a lot of thought on the topic. Finally, in late July, I forwarded a detailed “Fleet Manager Recognition Program” presentation to NAFA’s Board for consideration. It outlined a definitive plan for elevating respect for fleet managers, identifying their values, directing this fact to corporate executive management by working together with our resources.

All of us should hope it flies. It’ll help, believe me.


My Letter to Editorial Response from Ed Bobit, Editor and Publisher of Automotive Fleet

Written, October 2007

I just read your editorial in the latest issue of Automotive Fleet (Sept 2007),”There’s Serious Cause for Concern!” and, as it turns out, the same issue/letter “rankled” me as well, as the topic kind of “hits home.” So, you know me, never shy to put my two cents in (though usually unsolicited), at the risk boring you, I thought I would give you below, a kind of letter to the “editorial” (if there is such a category of comment) with an additional viewpoint.

In short, I do think there is some merit to the argument in the June 2007 letter you cite, and it does make one bristle a bit, for a lot reasons. I also think that, to the extent it is an industry education problem, that is, a lack of knowledge or recognition, your research and writing, and all of the various activities of Bobit Media, and organizations like FMI, AFLA go a long way to eliminate the industry specific “cause” for the problem, as does a “Fleet Manager Recognition Program” initiative you identify.

I suggest however, although the letter reads as an indictment on a specific industry and job function/talent, I actually think it has a broader application. In short, substitute the phrase “I’ll have to check with my leasing company” with “I’ll have to check with my manager” (or committee, or partners, etc.) and I think the endemic nature of this excuse for individual initiative within a large institutional entity becomes more apparent. I think in many cases what is lacking is not knowledge or intelligence on a specific topic, or even job recognition to some extent, but the individual internal fortitude to “make waves” or champion any change that could have risk, and indeed, most significant innovations or change initiatives within an institution involve some form of risk.

Those who are old enough (and I’m past that point now I’m sorry to say), remember that for many, many years technology innovation was restrained to some degree in many large companies from the phrase/reality expressed in the saying, “no one ever gets fired for buying IBM” so no other newly introduced vendors or processes were ever seriously considered beyond the “status quo” (of course change eventually comes, but there is no denying this type of roadblock). I think maybe what is happening here to some degree is a variation, “no one ever gets fired for doing what the leasing company tells them to do,” feigned ignorance is the safest course of action (at worse, I guess, if things go bad the leasing company vendor gets switched).

I can’t help but refer in the fleet business to a particular residual value guidebook that was used for years (up until very recently) as the overriding preferred industry benchmark, that is, many years past the point when everyone (including those using it) knew that it had nothing close to actual vehicle resale values – filled with gross inaccuracies it became a benchmark by default, only because everyone used (and had been using) it (kind of like Paris Hilton being famous for simply being famous…self fulfilling group inanity?). Talk about an example of a systemic fear of change…

In any event, I don’t think by any means this is wholly a fleet industry problem. From my perspective in looking at many different industries and institutions (law, finance, telecom), it seems to me that while the specific lyrics might be different, the tune is the same – now more than ever, at least it seems to me, there is an almost paranoid avoidance of anyone within larger institutions to take individual responsibility to initiate a change in procedures, policy, etc, even ones that have a high probability to improve things. It’s not necessarily that folks are ignorant as to the underlying topic or benefits, it’s that if any new policy or procedure or product involves the slightest risk or downside, it’s rejected without consideration of the upside – note: there may be a very good reason for this from the individual’s perspective, as in many places the old tag line “a success has a thousand fathers, and failure is an orphan” holds true. It seems as if people in larger institutions avoid taking responsibility to act as change agents or innovators, unless the institutional culture itself encourages and rewards this conduct (some very good business books have been written which identify this problem and focus on solution). To the extent that this is the case though, the problem is more a cultural one within each institution, and even the availability of all of the educational resources currently offered won’t move the needle as much as one would think they should, frustrating as it is for all parties.

John F. Possumato

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Thursday, October 25, 2007 

Vol. 3 No. 21

The 50 Worst Cars of All Time…

The Headline Alone Intrigued me…


So at the risk of citing another publication citing yet another publication, an article in a recent issue of Automotive News caught my eye, which, in turn, highlighted Pulitzer Price-winning auto writer Dan Neil’s recent article in Time Magazine which noted the 50th anniversary of the Edsel by identifying what, to him, were the 50 “worst cars of all time.” So now having given proper approbation, without you having to flip through the fifty Web pages of the article, here are the best of worst –

1899 Horsey Horseless (at least it would be fun to bring back the name)
1909 Ford Model T
1911 Overland OctoAuto (you had to see this one)
1913 Scripps-Booth Bi-Autogo
1920 Briggs and Stratton Flyer
1933 Fuller Dymaxion
1934 Chrysler/Desoto Airflow

1940-1959
1949 Crosley Hotshot
1956 Renault Dauphine
1957 King Midget Model III (and you thought the “mini” was a an innovation)

1957 Waterman Aerobile
1958 Ford Edsel
1958 Lotus Elite
1958 MGA Twin Cam
1958 Zunndapp Janus
(no doubt about it 1958 was a bumper year for bad cars)

1960-1974
1961 Amphicar
1961 Corvair (Ralph Nader loved this one)
1966 Peel Trident
1970 AMC Gremlin
1970 Triumph Stag
1971 Chrysler Imperial LeBaron Two-Door Hardtop
1971 Ford Pinto
1974 Jaguar XK-E V12 Series III

1975-1989
1975 Bricklin SV1
1975 Morgan Plus 8 Propane
1975 Triumph TR7
1975 Trabant
1976 Aston Martin Lagonda
1976 Chevy Chevette
1978 AMC Pacer
1980 Corvette 305 "California"
1980 Ferrari Mondial 8 (Ferrari made this list, who would have thought it?)
1981 Cadillac Fleetwood V-8-6-4
1981 De Lorean DMC-12
1982 Cadillac Cimarron
1982 Camaro Iron Duke
1984 Maserati Biturbo ('"Biturbo" is, of course, Italian for "expensive junk."')
1985 Mosler Consulier GTP
1985 Yugo GV
1986 Lamborghini LM002

1990-Present
1995 Ford Explorer
1997 GM EV1
1997 Plymouth Prowler
1998 Fiat Multipla
2000 Ford Excursion
2001 Jaguar X-Type
2001 Pontiac Aztek
2002 BMW 7-series
2003 Hummer H2
2004 Chevy SSR

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Monday, October 15, 2007 

Vol. 3 No. 20

The Frankfurt Auto Show, September 13-23, 2007

In Frankfurt, Germany, the 62nd International (IAA) Motor Show, so of course I didn’t get to go, but maybe one day…


The Frankfurt Auto Show last month is one of the premier auto shows on the planet, and I wasn’t there, but I read a whole lot about the contrasting display of power performance vehicles and “green” vehicle introductions, niche concept vehicle previews, and, in short, everything you’d ever want if you were a car fanatic.

I know BMW introduced their concept X6, Ford introduced their Verve concept, and Lamborghini even premiered their new model, called “The Reventon” that sells for 1 million Euros…that’s Euro’s folks, as in $1.4M American…

Regardless of all that, the real reason I would have given my last frequent flyer mile to have been there was to see the new production Jaguar up close and personal, the Jaguar XF (the vehicle that is replacing S Type, but from what I hear, is light years ahead of the S in styling, performance and luxury). It won’t be on sale here in the States until next spring, so I guess I’ll have to be satisfied with a picture or two until then….


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Wednesday, October 10, 2007 

Vol. 3 No. 19


Automotive Fleet & Leasing Association (AFLA) 2007 Annual Meeting and Conference

Turning Change into Opportunity - Part II


After Mike Rayburn’s unique song combinations, it was back to serious topics Thursday afternoon (September 6th), at the AFLA conference, with a presentation by Paul Traub from Chrysler, LLC (note: no longer Daimler Chrysler…), entitled “How the Changing Landscape Will Influence Fleet Sales” and followed by a presentation, “Turning the Change of Globalization into an Opportunity” by Matt Dyer, of LeasePlan International. That wrapped up a very information filled day, and, as you can tell from the titles, the topics where of the “advanced” class, big picture scope.


Down to Business

Mike Conroy turns the "President's" gavel over to Elsie Lucie

The next day started with the annual AFLA business meeting announcing election results, and I’m pleased to officially announce my old friend, Elsie Lucie, from Estee Lauder, as the incoming President of the Automotive Fleet & Leasing Association. Elsie succeeds Mark Conroy, from Union Leasing, now the outgoing President and the Past President Member of the Board of Directors. Just prior to this Elsie served as the Executive Vice President, and along with Mike Antich from Automotive Fleet Magazine, as Co-Chair of the Conference Committee. Now Mike has moved up to Executive Vice President of AFLA, and another old (Philly local) friend of mine, Tom Donato from ARI, has been elected Vice President. In addition, Deb Watkins from PHH has been elected as Secretary of the organization, joining Debbie Mize from Hallmark Cards, as Treasury. Also, elected to the Board are: Ron Shoemaker (Director, Remarketers), Brian Farrar (Director, Dealers), Kent Boskovich (Director, Lessors) and Dick Malcom (Director at Large). They join current Board Members, Pat Dougherty (Director, Allied), Jim McCarthy (Director, Fleet) and Lori Rasmussen (Director at Large), and, of course, Ed Bobit, Director Emeritus (and one of the original founders of AFLA). Congratulations one and all.

The first presentation of Friday morning was one of the best I have ever seen a “factory guy” conduct. Actually, the fact is, Ray Fisher, the presenter, is no longer with Chrysler Corporation (or Daimler Chrysler, or Chrysler, LLC, whatever the proper name is today). But Ray had been with Chrysler for such a long time, and, indeed, the last time I saw him present at AFLA he was with Chrysler, so I think, even though he is now the President of Donlen Corporation, he still qualifies as a “factory guy.” Indeed, his presentation, “Changing Gears: Factory to Fleet Management” was about this very transition, from operating as key guy in a very large multi-national company, to being the top guy in smaller organization. In truth, Ray has a natural gift for addressing a group in his now semi-famous, “that’s good/that’s bad” story time approach, and I always look forward to his presentations (“Mrs. America” sash and all).

Next on the agenda was a presentation on “Hybrid Economics” by Mike Love from Toyota Motor Sales, as timely a topic as you can find these days, and then a presentation from my friend Tom Webb, from Manheim Auctions entitled, “Forecasting Resale Value Trends” – a topic that is always timely for me… I still think the next evolution to the Maheim Used Vehicle Value Index that Tom created should be the ability to “hedge” with options or forward contracts the underlying values, like any other index driven derivative; if I can now “hedge” (fancy way of saying “bet”) on the oversupply of housing inventory in various US cities (and other arcane things) through options or futures contracts in NY (I can, it’s a new security that began trading a little while ago, it only trades 30 or so contracts a day I hear, but…), then why couldn’t a trading security be issued against Tom’s very well grounded index, one that could be used as a hedge against unforeseen pre-owned vehicle value changes. In my opinion an index like the one created by Tom lays the foundation for a sophisticated hedge/trading security to be created…I wonder why no one has, to date.


Driving as Cell Phones Don’t Mix…

The final presentation for the afternoon, and the conference, was, at least for me, a real thought provoker. Lee Whitehead, Director DCC State Program Administration of the National Safety Council, addressed the group with a presentation entitled, “Driver Distraction: The Ticking Time Bomb.” Let me run off a few statistics that Lee presented, and I think you will see why her presentation raises more than a few serious issues:

>100,000,000 drivers engage in the concurrent use of a cell phone while operating a motor vehicle
Inattention is involved in 78% of all observed crashes and 66% of all crash events (crash / near crash)
10% of drivers are using cell phones at any one time
73% talked on cell phones while driving and 19% admitted text messaging while driving
2/3 of teens admit to text messaging while driving; 16% of all cell phone users
Simulator study showed cell phone users were 5 times more likely to be in a crash
No difference in the interference from a hands-free
Relative risk of cell phone use is similar to the hazard associated with driving with a BAC of .08
Almost 80% of crashes and 65% of near misses occur within three seconds of some form of driver distraction

So I’m as guilty as the next guy of driving while using a cell phone (although I admit I can barely text message effectively even without driving, so I have never tried to text message while driving a car), but with stats like those above its time to change our ways –cell phone use + driving really is a ticking time bomb.


Golf Time, President’s Reception, and Closing Dinner


Friday afternoon was reserved for the Pete Z. Memorial Golf outing, and although I don’t play golf I still miss Pat Patrick’s presence for this, as he spearheaded this event for many, many years until his passing last year. My favorite “souvenir” of the entire conference is still the famous Pat Patrick “ditty bag” as it is as colorful as and well received as its original creator. A little background, when the memorial golf outing was just getting started, no one had the budget to create and fill a “goody bag” of sorts to give to golfers who participated. But in jumped the always dynamic and enthusiastic Pat Patrick, who, with his irresistible charm and persuasion worked the phones to get loads of donated goodies to stuff the bags with, and, as I recall, even had the bags themselves donated. The tradition has continued ever since, and this year AFLA gave out nice blue canvas bags with the Pat’s likeness and the label, “Pat Patrick’s Ditty Bag” emblazoned in white on the side, to both golfers and non-golfers alike.

In what always seems to be the fastest couple of days on record, the annual conference came to a close, with networking at the Presidents cocktail reception, and then the convention dinner, where prizes for golf and other awards were presented. Once again, the whole conference was informative and enjoyable, and, as usual, everyone hung around overtime at the final hospitality reception after the dinner (and later at the hotel bar), as no one wanted to leave the gathering of this cohesive group of fleet professionals – it’s just a great group to be around, and, for me, one of the joys of being in this business.

Some of the corporate fleet managers that attended this year's AFLA Conference


P.S. I just can’t resist mentioning this…it just so happened that the Mrs. America Pageant was just wrapping up at the Loews Ventana Canyon Resort after a week or so long stay, and that the final contest and event coincided with the first night of the AFLA Convention, so throughout the hotel the entire first day/night there was a plethora of beautiful ladies walking around the hotel in sashes identifying their respective home state. It was heard mentioned that some enterprising AFLA officials, ever on the ball, took it as a public service to spread the word and good tidings of the AFLA organization to as many “state sashes” as could be found. Also enthusiastic to give of themselves and educate the public, these AFLA chaps…


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Tuesday, October 02, 2007 

Vol. 3 No. 18

Automotive Fleet and Leasing Association (AFLA) 2007 Annual Meeting and Conference

Turning Change into Opportunity: Part I


Once again, my favorite fleet trade association, and the one to which I have belonged for the longest amount of time (this marks my 21st year as a member), the Automotive Fleet and Leasing Association, held their 39th annual meeting and conference. This year’s conference was in Tucson, Arizona, September 5 – 7, at the fantastic Loews Ventana Canyon Resort. The conference was crammed full of on point, interesting motivational and information seminars, and, of course meeting up again with the “best and brightest” veterans in the fleet business (which this group never fails to attract), is always great pleasure.

The conference this year kicked off Wednesday night with an inspirational keynote by Mike Pitcher, Executive Vice President of LeasePlan USA, entitled, “Attitude is Opportunity.” I was privileged to here Mike speak before and he certainly has a talent not only in addressing and holding the attention of a packed house, but, indeed, gives as inspiring and content filled presentation as I have ever heard. His observations and facts on attitudes in the workplace, for instance, were particularly enlightening – for instance, 53% of working people surveyed say they hate their job…and 60% of those hate their job because of their relationship with their boss. It turns out that although it is usually assumed that the number one satisfaction criteria for a job revolves around pay, in fact, the quality of life issue is usually of a higher concern in job satisfaction. Mike closed off by relaying some facts about how we all, in fact, are probably better off the 90% of the people on earth, something we forget in our daily tribulations. All in all, Mike's talk was a great way to kick of the conference, and from there, go a opening welcome reception, complete with classic cars.

AFLA Wecoming Reception with Classic Cars
Day 1 – What Changes are Coming…

The next day kicked off with a keynote by General Charles Wald, USAF (retired), entitled “Securing America’s Future Energy.” Not a light topic, General Wald’s point, that “America’s extreme dependence on oil is an unacceptable threat to national security and prosperity” is harsh reality. One needs only to look at the chart below, presented to the group, to understand the truth in the statement.
Another very serious presentation followed General Wald’s address, Ted Chu, Lead Economist of General Motors Corporation, addressed the group with a talk entitled, “Current State of the Automotive Industry: Where is it Going? Mr. Chu’s bottom line, “there will be more business, but it will be a much tougher business.” One thought provoking slide, on model proliferation and the “big three” share of the market, is displayed on the left– just about ten years ago there were 287 models and the “big three” had 72% market share…now there are 352 different models and the “big three” lost 16% points of share…it paints a fairly picture about the “tough” part for the industry.

Ted Chu was followed in the program by a presentation by Tom Kloza, Chief Oil Analyst, Oil Price Information Service, entitled, “Fleet Fuel Pricing Trends.”


And Now for Something Completely Different…

So after three very serious and sobering presentation, it was time for lunch and then a very light, entertaining and down right funny show, “Opportunity Knocks” by Mike Rayburn, of Quantum Talent. Mike’s “what if I could” reoccurring self question, and his unique combination of tunes which music/artists with different lyrics (my personal favorite was Led Zeppelin does Dr. Seuss or Bob Marley sings Garth Brooks) made for a very vocal and lively afternoon - I can see why the guy had 8 command performances at Carnegie Hall. Its much easier for me to show you the man himself rather than try to describe him, so, through the magic of YouTube.com, here is a video clip –






Okay, so I should probably close on the “note” above, and save the rest of the serious stuff for later…

Mike Rayburn with Drew Meyermann from the AFLA staff

Next, AFLA Conference Part II

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